任宏利
研究員/博士生導師
renhl@cma.gov.cn
010-68409514
研究興趣
氣候動力學、海氣相互作用🫸🏿、氣候預測、青藏高原
教育背景
1997～2001年♍️，蘭州大學大氣科學系氣象學專業🧑🌾，獲理學學士學位
2001～2006年🎥，蘭州大學大氣科學學院氣象學專業，獲理學博士學位
研究經歷
2006.5～2020.4，國家氣候中心👨🏿🦲，助研/副研/研究員
2008.4～2013.4🧑🦼➡️，美國夏威夷大學氣象系，博士後
2020.5至今，中國氣象科學研究院，研究員
主持項目/課題
國家重點研發計劃重點專項“青藏高原致災氣象過程發生機理及預報方法研究”項目之第三課題“高原致災氣象過程的氣候調製及影響”
國家自然科學基金聯合基金項目“基於時間尺度分離的我國汛期雨帶異常演變預測研究”
國家自然科學基金面上項目“兩類ENSO的動力學定量診斷及與年循環相互作用機製研究”
國家重點研發計劃重點專項“東亞季風氣候年際預測理論與方法研究”項目
國家重點研發計劃重點專項“東亞季風氣候年際預測理論與方法研究”項目之第四課題“面向東亞氣候年際預測的動力模式改進和同化方法研究”
國家自然科學基金面上項目“熱帶外大氣季節內振蕩與天氣渦旋的雙向反饋機製研究”
國家自然科學基金面上項目“中高緯冬季大氣低頻流與天氣渦旋相互作用的運動學機製研究”
國家自然科學基金青年基金項目“基於模式預報誤差時空特征及其影響因子的我國汛期氣候預測方法”
發表論文
（本人名稱加粗，通訊作者加*號）
1. Liu, Minghong, Hong-Li Ren*, Fang Zhou, Run Wang. 2024: Distinct North American teleconnection of the strong El Niños as modulated by the ENSO-annual cycle combination mode. Climate Dynamics, 62(3), 2147-2160. doi: 10.1007/s00382-023-07014-z.
2. Li, Zhanglin, Hong-Li Ren*, Mengmeng Lu, Fang Zhou. 2024: Interannual variations of westward extension area of western Pacific subtropical high and its relationship with precipitation in East Asia. Atmospheric Research, 298, 107148. doi: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.107148.
3. Wei, Yuntao, and Hong-Li Ren*. 2024: MJO Seasonality in Its Scale Selection: Perspectives from Space-Time Spectral Analysis of Moisture Budget. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 129(4), e2023JD039645. doi: 10.1029/2023JD039645.
4. Geng, Yu, Hong-Li Ren*, Jingxin Li. 2024: Roles of August Kuroshio SST Anomaly in Precipitation Variation during September over Central China. Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 102(1), 111-123.doi: 10.2151/jmsj.2024-005.
5. Zhu, Mengke, Hong-Li Ren*, Zizhan Hu, Jonathon S. Wright, Shiming Xu. 2024: Diagnosing the Quasi-Equilibrium Response of ENSO Variability under a Range of CO2 Levels. Journal of Climate, 37(3): 801-820. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0079.1.
6. Huang, Yu, Hong-Li Ren*, Jong-Seong Kug, Run Wang, Jingxin Li. 2023: Projected change of East-Asian winter precipitation related to strong El Nino under the future emission scenarios. Climatic Change, 176(7). doi: 10.1007/s10584-023-03551-y.
7. Liu, Minghong, Hong-Li Ren*, Run Wang, Jieru Ma, Xin Mao. 2023: Distinct Impacts of Two Types of Developing El Niño-Southern Oscillations on Tibetan Plateau Summer Precipitation. Remote Sensing, 15(16), 4030.doi: 10.3390/rs15164030.
8. Ma, Jieru, Hong-Li Ren*, Ming Cai, Jianping Huang. 2023: Seasonally Evolving Trends Explain the North-South Dipole Pattern Observed in Tibetan Plateau Precipitation. Geophysical Research Letters, 50(17), e2023GL104891.doi: 10.1029/2023GL104891.
9. Mao, Xin, Hong-Li Ren*, Ge Liu, Baohuang Su, Yinghan Sang. 2023: Influence of the Indian Summer Monsoon on Inter-Annual Variability of the Tibetan-Plateau NDVI in Its Main Growing Season. Remote Sensing, 15(14), 3612.doi: 10.3390/rs15143612.
10. Ren, Hong-Li*, Qing Bao, Chenguang Zhou, Jie Wu, Li Gao, Lin Wang, Jieru Ma, Yao Tang, Yangke Liu, Yujun Wang, Zuosen Zhao. 2023: Seamless Prediction in China: A Review.Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 40(8), 1501-1520.doi: 10.1007/s00376-023-2335-z.
11 Ren, Hong-Li*, and Run Wang. 2023: Diagnosing the Linear Periodicity Dynamics of ENSO for Its Two Spatiotemporal Modes. Geophysical Research Letters, 50(22),e2023GL105756. doi: 10.1029/2023GL105756.
12. Tian, Feng, Hong-Li Ren*, Minghong Liu, Baohuang Su, Run Wang. 2023: Intensity and timing of persistence barriers of global sea surface temperature anomalies. Geoscience Letters, 10(1), 16. doi: 10.1186/s40562-023-00270-1.
13. Wang, Lin, Hong-Li Ren*, Xiangde Xu, Li Gao, Bin Chen, Jian Li, Huizheng Che, Yaqiang Wang, Xiaoye Zhang, Joan Bech. 2023: Improving Predictions of Tibetan Plateau Summer Precipitation Using a Sea Surface Temperature Analog-Based Correction Method. Remote Sensing, 15(24), 5669. doi: 10.3390/rs15245669.
14. Wei, Yuntao, Hong-Li Ren*, Wansuo Duan, Guodong Sun. 2023: Westward-Propagating Disturbances Shape Diverse MJO Propagation. Geophysical Research Letters, 50(17), e2023GL104778. doi: 10.1029/2023GL104778.
15. Xiong, Meng, Hong-Li Ren*, Yu Nie, Guolin Feng, Lei Wang. 2023: Roles of eddy generation and jet characteristics in setting the annual cycle of Siberian storm track. Atmospheric Science Letters, 24(8), e1166. doi: 10.1002/asl.1166.
16. Zhao, Shuo, Hong-Li Ren*, Fang Zhou, Adam A. Scaife, Yu Nie. 2023: Phase asymmetry in synoptic eddy feedbacks on the negatively-skewed winter NAO. Atmospheric Research, 288, 106725. doi: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.106725.
17. Ren, Hong-Li*, Yuntao Wei, Shuo Zhao, 2023: Low-frequency variability in the real-time multivariate MJO index: real or artificial? Journal of Climate, 36(7), 2073–2089. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0368.1.
18. Wei, Yuntao, Hong-Li Ren*, Baoqiang Xiang, Yan Wang, Jie Wu, Shuguang Wang. 2023: Diverse MJO genesis and predictability. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 104, E792–E809. doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0101.1.
19. Wang, Lin, Hong-Li Ren*, Fang Zhou,Nick Dunstone, and Xiangde Xu. 2023: Dynamical predictability of leading interannual variability modes of Asian-Australian monsoon in climate models. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 40, 1998–2012. doi: 10.1007/s00376-023-2288-2.
20. Xu, Wenwen, Hong-Li Ren*. 2023: A CEOF-based method for measuring amplitude and phase properties of QBO. Climate Dynamics, 61, 923–937. doi: 10.1007/s00382-022-06625-2.
21. Wu, Jie, Hong-Li Ren*, Xiaolong Jia*, Peiqun Zhang. 2023: Climatological diagnostics and S2S predictions of MJO events. International Journal of Climatology, 43(5), 2449–2464. doi:10.1002/joc.7984.
22. Geng, Yu, Hong-Li Ren*, Qiang Wang. 2023: Seasonal modulation of mixed-layer temperature anomaly in Kuroshio-Oyashio confluence region by bimodal Kuroshio extension. Climate Dynamics, 60, 3051–3063. doi: 10.1007/s00382-022-06487-8.
23. Bai, Lina, Hong-Li Ren*, Yuntao Wei, Yuwen Wang, and Bin Chen. 2023: Influence of Madden–Julian Oscillation on precipitation over the Tibetan Plateau in boreal summer. Atmosphere, 14(1), 70. doi: 10.3390/atmos14010070.
24. Wang, Gongjie, Hong-Li Ren*, Jingpeng Liu, Xiaoyu Long. 2023: Seasonal predictions of sea surface height in BCC-CSM1.1m and their modulation by tropical climate dominant modes. Atmospheric Research, 281, 106466. doi: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106466.
25. Mao, Xin, Hong-Li Ren*, Ge Liu. 2022: Primary interannual variability patterns of the growing-season NDVI over Tibetan Plateau and main climatic factors. Remote Sensing, 14(20), 5183. doi:10.3390/rs14205183.
26. Wang, Lin, Hong-Li Ren*, Xiangde Xu, Bohua Huang, Jie Wu, and Jingpeng Liu. 2022: Seasonal-interannual predictions of summer precipitation over the Tibetan Plateau in North American Multimodel Ensemble. Geophysical Research Letters, 49, e2022GL100294. doi: 10.1029/2022GL100294.
27. Han, Shuangze, Hong-Li Ren*. Baohuang Su, Jingxin Li, 2022: Connection between the North Atlantic sea surface temperature and the late autumn snow cover anomalies over the Central Tibetan Plateau. Atmospheric Research, 279, 106405. doi: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106405.
28. Nie, Yu, Hong-Li Ren*, Yang Zhang, Pengfei Zhang. 2022: Roles of atmospheric variability and Arctic sea ice in the asymmetric Arctic-Eurasia temperature connection on subseasonal time scale. Journal of Climate, 35(23), 3975-3994. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0771.1.
29. Geng, Yu, Hong-Li Ren*, Xueying Ma, Shuo Zhao, Yu Nie. 2022: Responses of East Asian climate to SST anomalies in the Kuroshio extension region during boreal autumn. Journal of Climate, 35(21), 3401-3417. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0711.1.
30. Ren, Hong-Li*, Wenjun Zhang, Tao Lian, Ruihuang Xie, Michiya Hayashi. 2022: Editorial: ENSO nonlinearity and complexity: features, mechanisms, impacts and prediction. Frontiers in Earth Science. 10, 967362. doi: 10.3389/feart.2022.967362
31. Wang, Na, Hong-Li Ren*, Ying Liu, Yi Deng, Xiangxin Meng, Jie Wu, Fang Zhou. 2022: Multi-predictor ensembles improving seasonal prediction of summer rainfall over the Bohai Sea Rim based on statistical downscaling of BCC_CSM1.1 m. Atmospheric Research, 275, 106221. doi: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106221.
32. Wang, Yuwen, Hong-Li Ren*, Yuntao Wei, Fei-Fei Jin, Pengfei Ren, Li Gao, Jie Wu. 2022: MJO Phase swings modulate the recurring latitudinal shifts of the 2020 extreme summer-monsoon rainfall around Yangtse. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 127(6), e2021JD036011. doi:10.1029/2021JD036011.
33. Wu, Jie, Hong-Li Ren*, Peiqun Zhang, Yan Wang, Ying Liu, Chongbo Zhao, Qiaoping Li. 2022: The dynamical-statistical subseasonal prediction of precipitation over China based on the BCC new-generation coupled model. Climate Dynamics, 59, 1213-1232. doi:10.1007/s00382-022-06187-3.
34. Sang, Yinghan, Hong-Li Ren*, Yi Deng, Xiaofeng Xu, Xueli Shi, Shuo Zhao. 2022: Impacts of late-spring North Eurasian soil moisture variation on summer rainfall anomalies in Northern East Asia. Climate Dynamics, 58, 1495-1508. doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05973-9.
35. Wang, Na, Hong-Li Ren*, Yi Deng*, and Siyu Zhao. 2022: Understanding the causes of rapidly declining prediction skill of the East Asian summer monsoon rainfall with lead time in BCC_CSM1.1m. Climate Dynamics, 62, 2807–2821. doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05819-4.
36. Tian, Ben, and Hong-Li Ren*. 2022: Diagnosing SST error growth during ENSO developing phase in BCC_CSM1.1(m) prediction system. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 39, 427–442. doi: 10.1007/s00376-021-1189-5.
37. Jing-Xin Li, Ge Liu*, Renguang Wu, Hong-Li Ren*, Hui-Mei Wang, Xin Mao, and Xin-Chen Wei, 2022: Narrow and wide India–Burma trough-like circulations: their different impacts on precipitation over southern China. Geoscience Letters, 9:7. doi:10.1186/s40562-022-00217-y.
38. Ren, Hong-Li*, Fang Zhou, Yu Nie, Shuo Zhao. 2022: Dynamic synoptic eddy feedbacks contributing to maintenance and propagation of intraseasonal NAO. Geophysical Research Letters, 49(2), e2021GL096508. doi: 10.1029/2021GL096508.
39. Liu, Minghong, Mike McPhaden, Hong-Li Ren*, Magdalena Balmaseda, Run Wang. 2022: Oceanic heat content as a predictor of the Indian Ocean Dipole. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans. 127(12), e2022JC018896. doi: 10.1029/2022JC018896
40. Wei, Yuntao, Hong-Li Ren*. 2022: Distinct MJOs under the two types of La Niña. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 127(23), e2022JD037646. doi: 10.1029/2022JD037646.
41. Huang, Yu, Hong-Li Ren*, Minghong Liu. 2021: Change of East-Asian summer precipitation associated with strong El Niño under the future emission scenarios. Frontiers in Earth Science, 9, 771155. doi: 10.3389/feart.2021.771155.
42. Liu, Minghong, Hong-Li Ren*, Renhe Zhang, Sarah Ineson, Run Wang, 2021: ENSO phase-locking behavior in climate models: from CMIP5 to CMIP6. Environmental Research Communications, 3, 031004. doi:10.1088/2515-7620/abf295.
43. Liu, Ying, Hong-Li Ren*, N. P. Klingaman, Jingpeng Liu, and Peiqun Zhang. 2021: Improving long-lead seasonal forecasts of precipitation over Southern China based on statistical downscaling using BCC_CSM1.1m. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans. 94, 101222. doi:10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2021.101222.
44. Huang, Yu, Hong-Li Ren*, Robin Chadwick, and Yi Deng. 2021: Decomposition of projected summer rainfall change over East Asia based on timeslice experiments. Climate Dynamics, 56(7), 2531-2549. doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05602-x.
45. Ren, Hong-Li*, and Yu Nie, 2021: Skillful prediction of winter Arctic Oscillation from previous summer in a linear empirical model. SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences, 64, 27–36. doi: 10.1007/s11430-020-9665-3.
46. Sang, Yinghan, Hong-Li Ren*, Xueli Shi, Xiaofeng Xu, Haishan Chen. Improvement of soil moisture simulation in Eurasia by the Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model (BCC-CSM) from CMIP5 to CMIP6. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 38(2), 237−252. doi: 10.1007/s00376-020-0167-7.
47. Zhou, Fang, Hong-Li Ren*, Ming-Hong Liu, Run Wang, and Kai Huang, 2021: Leading modes of Asian–Australian monsoon interannual variability as represented in CMIP5 models. International Journal of Climatology, 41(2), 896–916. doi: 10.1002/JOC.6702.
48. Li, Tianhang, Hong-Li Ren*, Yujie Wu, and Jianyun Gao, 2021: Evaluation of Simulation Capability for Multiple Tropical Cyclone Events in the Western North Pacific of the UH_HCM Model. Frontiers in Earth Science, 8, 598473. doi: 10.3389/feart.2020.598473.
49. Fang, Yi-He, Yi-Tong Lin, Hong-Li Ren*, Chun-Yu Zhao, Fang Zhou, Qian Li, Chun-Lai Gu. 2020: Possible Relationships between the Interannual Anomalies of the South-North Positions of the Northeastern China Cold Vortexes and the SSTs during the Early Summer Periods. Frontiers in Earth Science, 8, 557014. doi: 10.3389/feart.2020.557014.
50. Ren, Hong-Li*, and Run Wang, 2020: Distinct growth rates of the two ENSO types. Geophysical Research Letters, 47(16), e2020GL088179. doi:10.1029/2020GL088179.
51. Lu, Bo, and Hong-Li Ren*. 2020: What caused the extreme Indian Ocean Dipole event in 2019? Geophysical Research Letters, 47(11), e2020GL087768. doi: 10.1029/2020GL087768.
52. Zhao, Shuo, Hong-Li Ren*, Fang, Zhou, and Li Gao. 2020: Role of eddy-heat feedback in modulating the winter-mean NAO-related thermodynamic structure. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125(5), e2019JD031990. doi:10.1029/2019JD031990.
53. Wu, Jie, Hong-Li Ren*, Bo Lu, Peiqun Zhang, Chongbo Zhao, and Xiangwen Liu. 2020: Effects of moisture initialization on MJO and its teleconnection prediction in BCC subseasonal coupled model. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125(1), e2019JD031537. doi: 10.1029/2019JD031537.
54. Nie, Yu, Hong-Li Ren*, Adam A. Scaife. 2020: Enhanced mid-to-late winter predictability of the storm track variability in North Pacific as a contrast with North Atlantic. Environmental Research Letters, 15 094037, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab9c4d.
55. Wang, Run, and Hong-Li Ren*, 2020: Understanding key roles of two ENSO modes in spatiotemporal diversity of ENSO. Journal of Climate, 33(15): 6453–6469. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0770.1.
56. Wang, Yan, Hong-Li Ren*, Fang Zhou, Joshua-Xiouhua Fu, Quan-Liang Chen, Jie Wu, Wei-Hua Jie, and Pei-Qun Zhang. 2020: Multi-model ensemble sub-seasonal forecasting of precipitation over the Maritime Continent in boreal summer. Atmosphere, 11(5), 515. doi:10.3390/atmos11050515.
57. Wang, Lin, Hong-Li Ren*, Jieshun Zhu, and Bohua Huang. 2020: Improving prediction of two ENSO types using a multi-model ensemble based on stepwise pattern projection model. Climate Dynamics, 54(7), 3229–3243. doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05160-2.
58. Zhou, Fang, Hong-Li Ren*, Zeng-Zhen Hu, Ming-Hong Liu, Jie Wu, and Chang-Zheng Liu. 2020: Seasonal predictability of primary East-Asian summer circulation patterns by three operational climate prediction models. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146(727), 629–646. doi: 10.1002/qj.3697.
59. Ren, Hong-Li*, Fei Zheng, Jing-Jia Luo, Run Wang, Minghong Liu, Wenjun Zhang, Tianjun Zhou, Guangqing Zhou, 2020: A review of research on tropical air-sea interaction, ENSO dynamics and prediction in China. Journal of Meteorological Research, 34(1), 43-62. doi: 10.1007/s13351-020-9155-1. [任宏利*，鄭飛，羅京佳，王潤，劉明竑，張文君，周天軍，周廣慶. 2020. 中國熱帶海-氣相互作用與ENSO動力學及預測研究進展. 氣象學報，78(3):351-369.]
60. Ren, Hong-Li*, Yu Huang, Robin Chadwick, and Yi Deng. 2020: Decomposing East-Asian winter temperature and monsoonal circulation changes using timeslice experiments. Climate Dynamics, 54(3), 2297–2315. doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-05114-3.
61. Nie, Yu, Hong-Li Ren*, Yang Zhang. 2019: The role of extratropical air-sea interaction in the autumn subseasonal variability of North Atlantic Oscillation. Journal of Climate, 32(22), 7697-7712. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0060.1.
62. Wei, Yuntao, and Hong-Li Ren*. 2019: Modulation of ENSO on fast and slow MJO modes during boreal winter. Journal of Climate, 32(21), 7483-7506. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0013.1.
63. Tian, Ben, Hong-Li Ren*, Fei-Fei Jin, and Malte F. Stuecker. 2019: Diagnosing the representation and causes of the ENSO persistence barrier in CMIP5 simulations. Climate Dynamics, 53(3–4), 2147–2160. doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04810-4.
64. Ren, Hong-Li*, Yujie Wu, Qing Bao, Jiehua Ma, Qiaoping Li, Jianghua Wan, Changzheng Liu, Xiaofei Wu, Ying Liu, Ben Tian, Joshua-Xiouhua Fu, and Jianqi Sun, 2019: China multi-model ensemble prediction system version 1.0 (CMMEv1.0) and its application to flood-season prediction in 2018. Journal of Meteorological Research, 33(3), 542–554. doi:10.1007/s13351-019-8154-6.
65. Huang, Kai, Hong-Li Ren*, Xiangwen Liu, Pengfei Ren, Yuntao Wei, Mu Mu, 2019: Parameter modulation of Madden-Julian Oscillation behaviors in BCC_CSM1.2: The key Role of moisture-convection feedback. Atmosphere, 10(5), 241. doi:10.3390/atmos10050241.
66. Zhao, Chongbo, Hong-Li Ren*, Rosemary Eade, Yujie Wu, Jie Wu, and Craig MacLachlan, 2019: MJO modulation and its predictability of boreal summer tropical cyclone genesis over northwest Pacific in Met Office Hadley Centre and Beijing Climate Center seasonal prediction systems. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145(720), 1089–1101. doi: 10.1002/qj.3478.
67. Ren, Hong-Li*, Adam A. Scaife, Nick Dunstone, Ben Tian, Ying Liu, Sarah Ineson, June-Yi Lee, Doug Smith, Changzheng Liu, Vikki Thompson, Michael Vellinga, and Craig MacLachlan, 2019: Seasonal predictability of winter ENSO types in operational dynamical model predictions. Climate Dynamics, 52(7-8), 3869–3890. doi: 10.1007/s00382-018-4366-1.
68. Ren, Hong-Li, Jinqing Zuo*, and Yi Deng, 2019: Statistical predictability of Niño indices for two types of ENSO. Climate Dynamics, 52(9–10), 5361–5382. doi: 10.1007/s00382-018-4453-3.
69. Hao, Xiaozhen, Hong-Li Ren*, Wenjun Zhang*, Minghong Liu, and Yuntao Wei, 2019: Diagnosing the spatiotemporal diversity of westerly wind events in the tropical Pacific. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Ocean, 86, 90-103. Doi: 10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2019.03.004
70. Wei, Yuntao, Mu Mu*, Hong-Li Ren*, and Joshua-Xiouhua Fu, 2019: Conditional nonlinear optimal perturbations of moisture triggering primary MJO initiation. Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 3492-3501. doi: 10.1029/2018GL081755.
71. Liu, Jingpeng, Hong-Li Ren*, Weijing Li, and Jinqing Zuo. 2019: Diagnosing the leading mode of interdecadal covariability between the Indian Ocean sea surface temperature and summer precipitation in southern China. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 135(3–4), 1295–1306. doi: 10.1007/s00704-018-2430-8.
72. Lu, Bo, and Hong-Li Ren*, 2019: ENSO features, dynamics, and teleconnections to East Asian climate as simulated in CAMS-CSM. Journal of Meteorological Research, 33(1), 46–65, doi: 10.1007/s13351-019-8101-6.
73. Ren, Hong-Li*, Bo Lu, Jianghua Wan, Ben Tian, and Peiqun Zhang, 2018: Identification standard for ENSO events and its application to climate monitoring and prediction. Journal of Meteorological Research, 32(6), 923–936, doi: 10.1007/s13351-018-8078-6.
74. Liu, Ying, Hong-Li Ren*, Adam A. Scaife, and Chaofan Li, 2018: Evaluation and statistical downscaling of East Asian summer monsoon forecasting in BCC and MOHC seasonal prediction systems. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144(717), 2798–2811. doi: 10.1002/qj.3405.
75. Ren, Pengfei, Hong-Li Ren*, Joshua-Xiouhua Fu, Jie Wu, and Liangmin Du, 2018: Impact of boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation on rainfall extremes in southeastern China and its predictability in CFSv2. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 123, 4423-4442. doi:10.1029/2017JD028043.
76. Lu, Bo, Hong-Li Ren*, Adam Scaife, Jie Wu, Nick Dunstone, Doug Smith, Jianghua Wan, Rosemary Eade, Craig MacLachlan, Margaret Gordon, 2018: An extreme negative Indian Ocean Dipole event in 2016: dynamics and predictability. Climate Dynamics, 51(1-2), 89-100. doi: 10.1007/s00382-017-3908-2.
77. Wan, Jianghua, Hong-Li Ren*, and Peili Wu. 2018: Representation of the ENSO combination mode and its asymmetric SST response in different resolutions of HadGEM3. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 35(8), 1063–1076. doi: 10.1007/s00376-018-7285-5.
78. Lu, Bo, Hong-Li Ren*, Rosemary Eade, and Martin Andrews. 2018: Indian Ocean SST modes and their impacts as simulated in BCC-CSM1.1m and HadGEM3. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 35(8), 1035–1048. doi: 10.1007/s00376-018-7279-3.
79. Liu, Jingpeng, Hong-Li Ren*, Weijing Li, and Jinqing Zuo. 2018: Remarkable impacts of Indian Ocean sea surface temperature on interdecadal variability of summer rainfall in Southwestern China. Atmosphere, 9(3), 103. doi:10.3390/atmos9030103.
80. Li, Chengcheng, Hong-Li Ren*, Fang Zhou, Shuanglin Li, Joshua-Xiouhua Fu, and Guoping Li. 2018: Multi-pentad prediction of precipitation variability over Southeast Asia during boreal summer using BCC_CSM1.2. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, 82, 20-36. doi:10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2018.02.002.
81. Huang, Yu, Hong-Li Ren*, Robin Chadwick, Zhigang Cheng, Quanliang Chen, 2018: Diagnosing changes of winter NAO in response to different climate forcings in a set of atmosphere-only timeslice experiments. Atmosphere, 9(1), 10. doi:10.3390/atmos9010010.
82. Liu, Ying, and Hong-Li Ren*. 2017: Improving ENSO prediction in CFSv2 with an analogue-based correction method, International Journal of Climatology, 37(15), 5035–5046. doi: 10.1002/joc.5142.
83. Zhou, Fang, and Hong-Li Ren*. 2017: Dynamical feedback between synoptic eddy and low-frequency flow as simulated by BCC_CSM1.1(m), Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 34(11), 1316–1332, doi: 10.1007/s00376-017-6318-9.
84. Ren, Hong-Li*, and Pengfei Ren, 2017: Impact of Madden-Julian Oscillation on winter extreme rainfall in the southern China: observations and predictability in CFSv2. Atmosphere, 8(10), 192. doi:10.3390/atmos8100192.
85. Zhou, Fang, Hong-Li Ren*, Xiaofeng Xu, and You Zhou. 2017: Understanding positive feedback between PNA and synoptic eddies by eddy structure decomposition method, Climate Dynamics, 48(11), 3813-3827. doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3304-3.
86. Ren, Hong-Li*, Run Wang, Panmao Zhai, Yihui Ding, Bo Lu, 2017: Upper-ocean dynamical features and prediction of the super El Niño in 2015/16: A comparison with 1982/83 and 1997/98. Journal of Meteorological Research, 31(2), 278–294, doi: 10.1007/s13351-017-6194-3. [任宏利*，王潤，翟盤茂，丁一匯，陸波. 超強厄爾尼諾事件海洋學特征分析與預測回顧. 氣象學報，2017🤷🏿，75(1)：1-18. doi:10.11676/qxxb2017.026.]
87. Ren, Hong-Li*, Fei-Fei Jin, Lianchun Song, Bo Lu, Ben Tian, Jinqing Zuo, Ying Liu, Jie Wu, Chongbo Zhao, Yu Nie, Peiqun Zhang, Jin Ba, Yujie Wu, Jianghua Wan, Yuping Yan, and Fang Zhou, 2017: Prediction of primary climate variability modes in Beijing Climate Center. Journal of Meteorological Research, 31(1): 204-223. doi: 10.1007/s13351-017-6097-3.
88. Ren, Hong-Li*, Fei-Fei Jin, Ben Tian, and Adam A. Scaife. 2016: Distinct persistence barriers in two types of ENSO. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 10973-10979. doi:10.1002/2016GL071015.
89. Lu, Bo, and Hong-Li Ren*. 2016: Improving ENSO periodicity simulation by adjusting cumulus entrainment in BCC_CSMs. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, 76, 127-140. 10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2016.10.005.
90. Zuo, Jinqing, Hong-Li Ren*, Weijing Li, and Lei Wang. 2016: Interdecadal variations in the relationship between the winter North Atlantic Oscillation and temperature in south–central China. Journal of Climate, 29(20), 7477-7493. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0873.1.
91.Zuo, Jinqing, Hong-Li Ren*, Bingyi Wu, and Weijing Li. 2016: Predictability of winter temperature in China from previous autumn Arctic Sea Ice, Climate Dynamics, 47(7), 2331-2343, doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2966-6.
92. Wu, Jie, Hong-Li Ren*, Jinqing Zuo, Chongbo Zhao, Lijuan Chen, and Qiaoping Li. 2016: MJO prediction skill, predictability, and teleconnection impacts in the Beijing Climate Center Atmospheric General Circulation Model. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, 75, 78-90, doi:10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2016.06.001.
93. Zuo, Jinqing, Hong-Li Ren*, Jie Wu, Yu Nie, and Qiaoping Li. 2016: Subseasonal variability and predictability of the Arctic Oscillation/North Atlantic Oscillation in BCC_AGCM2.2. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, 75, 33-45. doi:10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2016.05.002.
94. Ren, Hong-Li*, Jinqing Zuo, Fei-Fei Jin, and Malte F. Stuecker. 2016: ENSO and annual cycle interaction: The combination mode representation in CMIP5 models. Climate Dynamics, 46(11), 3753–3765. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-015-2802-z.
95. Lu, Bo, and Hong-Li Ren*. 2016: SST-forced interdecadal deepening of the winter India-Burma trough since 1950s. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 120, 2719–2731. doi:10.1002/2015JD024393.
96. Shen, Yu-yang, Hong-li Ren*, Wei-jing Li, Yu-jie Zhang, and Jin-qing Zuo. 2018: Relationship between summer low-frequency rainfall over southern China and propagation of tropical intraseasonal oscillation. Journal of Tropical Meteorology, 24(1), 92-101. doi:10.16555/j.1006-8775.2018.01.009.
97. Zhao, Chongbo, Hong-Li Ren*, Lianchun Song, and Jie Wu, 2015: Madden–Julian oscillation simulated in BCC climate models. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, 72, 88-101. doi:10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2015.10.004.
98. Liu, Ying, and Hong-Li Ren*. 2015: A hybrid statistical downscaling model for prediction of winter precipitation in China. International Journal of Climatology, 35(7), 1309–1321. doi: 10.1002/joc.4058.
99. Zuo, Jinqing, Hong-Li Ren*, Weijing Li. 2015: Contrasting impacts of the Arctic Oscillation on surface air temperature anomalies in southern China between early and mid-Late winter. Journal of Climate, 28(10), 4015-4026. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00687.1.
100. Ren, Hong-Li*, Fei-Fei Jin, and Jong-Seong Kug. 2014: Eddy-induced growth rate of low-frequency variability and its mid-late winter suppression in the northern hemisphere. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 71(7), 2281-2298. doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-13-0221.1.
101. Ren, Hong-Li*, Fei-Fei Jin, Malte F. Stuecker, and Ruihuang Xie. 2013: ENSO regime change since the late 1970s as manifested by two types of ENSO. Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 91(6), 835-842. doi:10.2151/jmsj.2013-608.
102. Ren, Hong-Li*, and Fei-Fei Jin, 2013: Recharge oscillator mechanisms in two types of ENSO. Journal of Climate, 26(17), 6506-6523. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00601.1.
103. Ren, Hong-Li*, Fei-Fei Jin, Li Gao. 2012: Anatomy of synoptic eddy–NAO interaction through eddy-structure decomposition. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 69(7), 2171-2191. doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-11-069.1.
104. Ren, Hong-Li, and Fei-Fei Jin*. 2011: Niño indices for two types of ENSO, Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L04704, doi:10.1029/2010GL046031.
105. Ren, Hong-Li*, Fei-Fei Jin, Jong-Seong Kug, Li Gao. 2011: Transformed eddy-PV flux and positive synoptic eddy feedback onto low-frequency flow. Climate Dynamics, 36(11), 2357-2370, doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0913-0.
106. Ren, Hong-Li*, Fei-Fei Jin, Jong-Seong Kug, Jing-Xia Zhao, Juhyun Park. 2009: A kinematic mechanism for positive feedback between synoptic eddies and NAO. Geophysical Research Letters, 36, L11709, doi:10.1029/2009GL037294.
107. Ren, Hong-Li*, Chou Jifan, Huang Jianping, Zhang Peiqun. 2009: Theoretical basis and application of analogue-dynamical model in the Lorenz system. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 26(1), 67-77, doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-0067-3.
108. Ren, Hong-Li*. 2008: Predictor-based error correction method in short-term climate prediction. Progress in Natural Sciences, 18(1): 129-135. doi: 10.1016/j.pnsc.2007.08.003. [任宏利*. 短期氣候預測中基於預報因子的誤差訂正方法研究. 自然科學進展，2007，17(12)：1651~1656.]
109. Ren, Hong-Li*, Jifan Chou. 2007: Strategy and methodology of dynamical analogue prediction. Science in China Series D: Earth Sciences, 50(10): 1589-1599. [任宏利*，醜紀範. 動力相似預報的策略和方法研究. 中國科學 D輯：地球科學，2007，37(8)：1101~1109.]
110. 任宏利🎀，張培群*，李維京，醜紀範. 2006：基於多個參考態更新的動力相似預報方法及應用. 物理學報，55(8)：4388~4396.
111. Gao Li, Ren Hong-Li*, Li Jianping and Chou Jifan. 2006: Analogue correction method of errors and its application to numerical weather prediction. Chinese Physics, 15(4): 882-889.
112. Ren Hong-Li, Zhang Peiqun*, Chou Jifan, Li Weijing, Gao Li. 2006: Large-scale low-frequency rainfall regimes and their transition modes in summertime over China. Chinese Science Bulletin, 51(11): 1355-1367. [任宏利🤽，張培群*，醜紀範，李維京，高麗. 2005： 中國夏季大尺度低頻雨型及其轉換模. 科學通報，50(24)🏌🏿：2790~2799.]
#以上信息由本人提供，更新時間🥄：2024/10/15
